Monday, September 22, 2008 By Aaron Brown
I think Barkley is a lot more credible as a candidate than people give him credit. He's actually served in the Senate (albeit briefly as an appointed replacement to Sen. Paul Wellstone) and is seems to have a handle on the issues. Moreover, he seems to draw evenly from Democrats and Republicans. With a solid performance in the debates he may find himself back in the teens or even 20s in support. After that, who knows?
I think there is no way Barkley does any worse that IPer Peter Hutchinson in the 2006 governor's race (7 percent). That means the winner of this seat will probably muster just 45 or 46 percent of the vote, maybe even less. I can see a way Norm gets 45 and I can see a way Al gets 45. A Barkley win is a long shot, but I wouldn't rule it out until after we see the debates. This one will be very, very close.